unrip/THESIS.md
philipp 54dc05a94c Archive first live trade loop and open funding visibility turn
Proof: Preserve the completed first live BTC/EURe trade loop and establish the next approved implementation proof around pre-credit funding visibility and operator alerts.
Assumptions: The live-trade loop is sufficiently proven by the recorded deposits, withdrawals, durable command/result chain, and successful mainnet quote responses; the next highest-value slice is operational visibility rather than new execution breadth.
Still fake: The newly opened funding-visibility and alert turn is planning only; no pre-credit watcher or durable alert evaluator is implemented yet.
2026-04-03 01:07:02 +02:00

2.2 KiB

unrip thesis

Purpose

Build a data-first trading system whose first-class artifact is trustworthy market and execution history.

The bot is one consumer of that truth. Analytics and backtesting are not bolted on later; they are part of the product from the beginning.

Product nucleus

The nucleus of the system is one shared truth pipeline:

  1. observe live market and intent flow
  2. persist raw and normalized events durably
  3. replay the same history for analytics and backtests
  4. score candidate actions from the same canonical data model
  5. execute only behind explicit safety gates and full auditability

Architectural invariants

  • Live decisions and historical analysis must share the same canonical event model whenever practical.
  • Raw events are kept alongside normalized and derived records.
  • Every important decision should be reproducible from stored inputs and explicit assumptions.
  • Execution must not outpace observability. If the system cannot explain what happened, it is not ready to trade.
  • Quote collection and analytics are core product work, not support work.

Near-term thesis

Near term, unrip should become a narrow but truthful trading-data and decision pipeline for one real pair on one venue.

That means:

  • real upstream data
  • durable storage beyond transient bus retention
  • replayable history
  • measurable candidate decisions
  • no pretending that execution is safe before the data and analysis path is trustworthy

Long-term thesis

Long term, the same system should support:

  • automated trading on selected pairs
  • analytics and backtesting from retained ground-truth data
  • cross-chain and cross-asset execution routing

Non-goals right now

  • polished operator UI before the data loop is truthful
  • broad multi-venue coverage before one core loop is real
  • strategy claims without named assumptions and falsification criteria
  • live trading with real funds before paper or tightly gated execution is trustworthy

Approval boundaries

The agent may propose changes to the thesis, but the user must approve:

  • changes to the core product definition
  • changes that raise the risk class of the system
  • changes that create lasting infra cost or operational burden