From 51461a25bcb461d64bfe3f0c7a4a02ac31e18977 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: philipp <klein.philipp@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 14 Apr 2026 10:07:00 +0200
Subject: [PATCH] Show proven trade gross edge total

Proof: successful trade summary now aggregates gross edge estimates only from completed lifecycle rows with linked settlement evidence; tests prove completed-without-delta rows are excluded.

Assumptions: gross edge estimate is useful operator evidence but remains pre-fee and not venue-native realized PnL.

Still fake: fee-complete realized trade PnL and venue-native terminal fill events remain unavailable.
---
 src/core/operator-dashboard.mjs               | 21 +++++++++++++++++++
 .../static/pages/StrategyPage.jsx             |  7 +++++++
 test/operator-dashboard-ui-static.test.mjs    |  3 +++
 test/operator-dashboard.test.mjs              |  6 ++++++
 4 files changed, 37 insertions(+)

diff --git a/src/core/operator-dashboard.mjs b/src/core/operator-dashboard.mjs
index b09ace2..33fb751 100644
--- a/src/core/operator-dashboard.mjs
+++ b/src/core/operator-dashboard.mjs
@@ -1341,8 +1341,12 @@ function buildTradeFunnelSummary(lifecycleRows = []) {
     }
   }
 
+  const grossEdgeEstimate = summarizeGrossEdgeEstimate(successfulTrades);
+
   return {
     successful_trade_count: successfulTrades.length,
+    successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_eure: grossEdgeEstimate.total_eure,
+    successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_count: grossEdgeEstimate.count,
     unresolved_submission_count: unresolvedSubmissions.length,
     no_trade_count: noTradeRows.length,
     successful_trades: successfulTrades,
@@ -1356,6 +1360,23 @@ function buildTradeFunnelSummary(lifecycleRows = []) {
   };
 }
 
+function summarizeGrossEdgeEstimate(rows = []) {
+  let total = 0n;
+  let count = 0;
+
+  for (const row of rows || []) {
+    const value = row?.gross_edge_value_eure || estimateGrossEdgeValueEure(row);
+    if (value == null) continue;
+    total += parseScaledDecimal(value);
+    count += 1;
+  }
+
+  return {
+    count,
+    total_eure: count > 0 ? formatScaledDecimal(total) : null,
+  };
+}
+
 function buildSystemSummary({ servicesByName, activeAlerts, recentAlerts }) {
   const historyWriterState = servicesByName['history-writer']?.state || {};
   void activeAlerts;
diff --git a/src/operator-dashboard/static/pages/StrategyPage.jsx b/src/operator-dashboard/static/pages/StrategyPage.jsx
index b9a82be..005348d 100644
--- a/src/operator-dashboard/static/pages/StrategyPage.jsx
+++ b/src/operator-dashboard/static/pages/StrategyPage.jsx
@@ -293,6 +293,12 @@ export default function StrategyPage({ strategy }) {
         </div>
         <div className="metric-grid">
           <MetricCard label="Successful trades" meta="Requires linked terminal outcome and settlement" value={String(funnel.successful_trade_count || 0)} />
+          <MetricCard
+            label="Gross edge est."
+            meta={`${funnel.successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_count || 0} proven trades, before fees`}
+            signedValue={funnel.successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_eure}
+            value={formatEur(funnel.successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_eure)}
+          />
           <MetricCard label="Not filled" meta="Submitted but no settled inventory delta" value={String(counts.not_filled || 0)} />
           <MetricCard label="Awaiting outcome" meta="Submitted, no durable terminal result yet" value={String(funnel.unresolved_submission_count || 0)} />
           <MetricCard label="Rejected / blocked" meta="Strategy rejection or executor block" value={String((counts.rejected || 0) + (counts.blocked || 0))} />
@@ -312,6 +318,7 @@ export default function StrategyPage({ strategy }) {
           </div>
           <div className="pills">
             <Pill label={`${counts.completed || 0} completed`} stateLabel={(counts.completed || 0) > 0 ? 'healthy' : 'unknown'} />
+            <Pill label={`${formatEur(funnel.successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_eure)} gross edge est.`} stateLabel={funnel.successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_eure ? 'healthy' : 'unknown'} />
             <Pill label={`${counts.not_filled || 0} not filled`} stateLabel={(counts.not_filled || 0) > 0 ? 'warning' : 'unknown'} />
           </div>
         </div>
diff --git a/test/operator-dashboard-ui-static.test.mjs b/test/operator-dashboard-ui-static.test.mjs
index 06b0b25..c0beb47 100644
--- a/test/operator-dashboard-ui-static.test.mjs
+++ b/test/operator-dashboard-ui-static.test.mjs
@@ -11,6 +11,9 @@ test('strategy page owns consolidated quote lifecycle and successful trade table
   assert.match(strategySource, /Incoming quotes and what happened next/);
   assert.match(strategySource, /Responded\?/);
   assert.match(strategySource, /Successful trades only/);
+  assert.match(strategySource, /Gross edge est\./);
+  assert.match(strategySource, /successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_eure/);
+  assert.match(strategySource, /before fees/);
   assert.match(strategySource, /Show lifecycle/);
   assert.match(strategySource, /Submitted means the relay accepted the response; it does not prove a trade\./);
   assert.doesNotMatch(strategySource, /Actionable|actionable/);
diff --git a/test/operator-dashboard.test.mjs b/test/operator-dashboard.test.mjs
index 8838806..ef0aa44 100644
--- a/test/operator-dashboard.test.mjs
+++ b/test/operator-dashboard.test.mjs
@@ -752,6 +752,8 @@ test('successful trade rows require completed outcome with linked settled invent
         command_id: 'cmd-completed',
         quote_id: 'quote-completed',
         pair: config.activePair,
+        gross_edge_pct: '0.49',
+        eure_notional: '50',
         outcome_status: 'completed',
         outcome_reason: 'matched_inventory_delta',
         outcome_observed_at: '2026-04-09T09:01:00.000Z',
@@ -770,6 +772,8 @@ test('successful trade rows require completed outcome with linked settled invent
         command_id: 'cmd-completed-no-delta',
         quote_id: 'quote-completed-no-delta',
         pair: config.activePair,
+        gross_edge_pct: '99',
+        eure_notional: '100',
         outcome_status: 'completed',
         outcome_reason: 'settled',
         outcome_observed_at: '2026-04-09T09:02:00.000Z',
@@ -786,6 +790,8 @@ test('successful trade rows require completed outcome with linked settled invent
   const funnel = bootstrap.strategy.strategy_state.trade_funnel;
   assert.equal(funnel.successful_trade_count, 1);
   assert.equal(funnel.successful_trades[0].quote_id, 'quote-completed');
+  assert.equal(funnel.successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_eure, '0.245');
+  assert.equal(funnel.successful_trade_gross_edge_estimate_count, 1);
   assert.match(funnel.successful_trades[0].settlement_summary.text, /\+0\.00037014 BTC/);
   assert.equal(funnel.counts.submitted, 1);
   assert.equal(funnel.counts.completed, 2);